Asian League · resolved market
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x652201b5ae9b23dbad6d715b0986b63edff420a0d591fb502ce6138c41ca1b8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,292$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.76 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 572.89$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.14 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 69c | 450$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 61c | 372.83$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 42c | 318.21$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.42 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…4ce4backed Under | 49c | 289.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 265.12$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.24 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 59c | 254.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 44c | 149.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 36c | 77.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 61c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 65c | 44.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 52c | 37.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 79c | 24.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Riyadh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.