Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Carol Young Suh Lee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6525e7449e798eaf12714e81a067e52de5f9d89969326e0c2d17bb3ac4c48d90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leeof Vandewinkel, Lee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Lee | 32c | 571.51$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.56 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Vandewinkel | 67c | 476.04$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.89 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vandewinkel | 66c | 373.19$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.21 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lee | 31c | 226.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Lee | 39c | 186$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.7 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Lee | 32c | 102.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Vandewinkel | 67c | 87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Vandewinkel | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Vandewinkel | 65c | 83.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed Lee | 27c | 74.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Vandewinkel | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1672…d232backed Vandewinkel | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…dc37backed Vandewinkel | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lee | 33c | 62.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df1…54ccbacked Lee | 27c | 56.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Vandewinkel | 69c | 52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lee | 34c | 49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…b16bbacked Vandewinkel | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Lee | 39c | 40.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Vandewinkel | 50c | 22.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Carol Young Suh Leethis page
- Set 1 Winner: Vandewinkel vs LeeVandewinkel won
- Set Handicap: Vandewinkel (-1.5) vs Lee (+1.5)Lee won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.