CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: paiN.A (-1.5) vs Blitzkrieg (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x655dbb53e3301d858217f5cfc6acf89d2ed76b39da53fe4308665286b90e3bb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Academyof paiN Academy, Blitzkrieg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Blitzkrieg | 21c | 3,447$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Blitzkrieg | 20c | 2,001$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.71 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blitzkrieg | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Blitzkrieg | 22c | 1,314$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.19 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Blitzkrieg | 17c | 1,017$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.78 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed paiN Academy | 80c | 974.99$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Blitzkrieg | 20c | 953.85$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.68 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked paiN Academy | 80c | 944.75$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.95 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed paiN Academy | 80c | 909.07$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.6 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Blitzkrieg | 13c | 885.74$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Blitzkrieg | 10c | 713.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Blitzkrieg | 21c | 611.82$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Blitzkrieg | 15c | 601.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Blitzkrieg | 6c | 588.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Blitzkrieg | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Blitzkrieg | 19c | 483.11$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Blitzkrieg | 5c | 450$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Blitzkrieg | 25c | 397.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Blitzkrieg | 5c | 330$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Blitzkrieg | 14c | 301.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Blitzkrieg | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Blitzkrieg | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Blitzkrieg | 21c | 192$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Blitzkrieg | 8c | 180.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Blitzkrieg | 24c | 176.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Blitzkrieg | 25c | 156$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Blitzkrieg | 14c | 153$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Blitzkrieg | 25c | 142.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Blitzkrieg | 18c | 138.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Blitzkrieg | 20c | 117.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Blitzkrieg | 14c | 92.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Blitzkrieg | 13c | 83.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…9fcfbacked paiN Academy | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked paiN Academy | 79c | 51.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked paiN Academy | 78c | 50.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked paiN Academy | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed paiN Academy | 76c | 48.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed paiN Academy | 79c | 22.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: paiN.A (-1.5) vs Blitzkrieg (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StagepaiN Academy won
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Blitzkrieg - Map 1 WinnerpaiN Academy won
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Blitzkrieg - Map 2 WinnerpaiN Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.