CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a7e3e27117d421b2935ae0e1446b866fb09e1e4f3fa6df876b765958eaf0a75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Over | 19c | 1,447$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.02 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Over | 21c | 1,113$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.45 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Over | 18c | 937.85$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.04 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 17c | 722.44$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.44 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 18c | 614.25$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.04 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Over | 14c | 569.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 16c | 546.39$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Over | 18c | 480.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Over | 21c | 460$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 9c | 450$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Over | 19c | 435.13$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.67 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 5c | 375$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 19c | 368.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Over | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…cc42backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 20c | 190.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…9306backed Over | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 22c | 172$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 20c | 154.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…dea8backed Over | 16c | 136.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Over | 20c | 89.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked Over | 17c | 79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 17c | 66.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 18c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StagepaiN Academy won
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Blitzkrieg - Map 1 WinnerpaiN Academy won
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Blitzkrieg - Map 2 WinnerpaiN Academy won
- Map Handicap: paiN.A (-1.5) vs Blitzkrieg (+1.5)paiN Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.