CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66320f332c373be85423f34930faab229daf9fca21351ce226895d1a684a7ffb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Sharks, Fluxo W7M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,259 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Sharks | 67c | 3,139$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.11 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sharks | 65c | 2,141$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.2 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Fluxo W7M | 36c | 700$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Fluxo W7M | 33c | 678.7$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.03 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Fluxo W7M | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Fluxo W7M | 35c | 525$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.25 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Fluxo W7M | 36c | 520$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.04 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fluxo W7M | 36c | 506.24$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.09 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Fluxo W7M | 36c | 462$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.32 | 225 | 41.8%94 W · 131 L | -14.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Sharks | 61c | 350$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Fluxo W7M | 37c | 338.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.67 | 470 | 47.9%225 W · 245 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fluxo W7M | 36c | 292.37$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sharks | 65c | 263.73$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Fluxo W7M | 33c | 230.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Fluxo W7M | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Sharks | 65c | 195$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Fluxo W7M | 40c | 179.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Fluxo W7M | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Fluxo W7M | 33c | 87.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Fluxo W7M | 37c | 83.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Fluxo W7M | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Fluxo W7M | 29c | 81.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Fluxo W7M | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Fluxo W7M | 26c | 69.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Fluxo W7M | 36c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Fluxo W7M | 34c | 59.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Sharks | 66c | 33.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Fluxo W7M | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fluxo W7M | 37c | 27.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Sharks | 61c | 20.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 158 | 64.6%102 W · 56 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 WinnerSharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.