Mls · resolved market
Will San Diego FC win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x663fd9ca1a75cd48235d87920a56211e94d51af322fc3ad4eacad1f2c9db15d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,750 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 61c | 15,456$9,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,027.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 59c | 9,671$5,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,954.8 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 45c | 1,120$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 961$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.79 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 57c | 493.44$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.21 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked No | 63c | 415$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68f…3211backed Yes | 39c | 393.31$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 34c | 350.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 61c | 317$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 42c | 300$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 49c | 292.66$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…b94cbacked Yes | 73c | 147.08$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 59c | 98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 42c | 78.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 76c | 72.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 57c | 69.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…0c17backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed No | 59c | 18.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ad…c49dbacked Yes | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Diego FC win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2025-11-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.