Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: North Dakota State Bison (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6648ed5638b99654053da872280474bf0df2854b7de14338b151e9ac0c8d8e77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesof North Dakota State Bison, Oral Roberts Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,982 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked North Dakota State Bison | 56c | 89,851$50,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,356.99 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 44c | 74,935$32,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,963.74 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 44c | 7,570$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,272.58 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 44c | 1,750$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.88 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 44c | 1,745$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.1 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 44c | 872.41$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.55 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 45c | 732.66$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.97 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 44c | 377.92$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.64 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 45c | 330.45$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.75 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 46c | 215.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 45c | 188$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 44c | 174.48$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 45c | 105.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 44c | 67.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 45c | 53.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…9d33backed Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 44c | 45.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed North Dakota State Bison | 56c | 29.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 43c | 29.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed North Dakota State Bison | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: North Dakota State Bison (-11.5)this page
- Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. North Dakota State BisonNorth Dakota State Bison won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.