Lol · resolved market
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x665832aa1b0beca1001fffb25a45dc60569c87a63d43e2ef244492cee1039fce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CTBC Flying Oysterof CTBC Flying Oyster, DetonatioN FocusMe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 1c | 4,192$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 2c | 2,222$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 207 | 2.9%6 W · 201 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 16c | 1,013$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.23 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 7c | 405.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae72…f49dbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 8c | 399.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 383 | 35%134 W · 249 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 6c | 365.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 189 | 14.8%28 W · 161 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2681…d736backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 22c | 343.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 20c | 247$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 8c | 243.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 452 | 48%217 W · 235 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 79c | 212.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 16c | 195.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 15c | 125.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…e222backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 59c | 62.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 79c | 22.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 80c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonCTBC Flying Oyster won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 2 WinnerCTBC Flying Oyster won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.