TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers: O/U 135.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,097 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under52c3,172$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.5625043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04048855.1%269 W · 219 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Over50c1,799$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.529845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c1,201$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.992,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c515.09$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.735,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Under52c419.38$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0816248.1%78 W · 84 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over49c182.07$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.851,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over50c178.67$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4683350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over49c148.69$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8321850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c127.63$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.511,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over51c125.98$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7322950.7%116 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over51c125$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.253,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5082846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under51c98.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.994,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c97.14$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.61,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over50c90.1$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.058361.4%51 W · 32 L+9.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda4f…77e9backed Under51c26.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.749353.8%50 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c26.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.115,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5037…a863backed Under47c25.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121520%3 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-53.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c22.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.