Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Golden Gophers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5359cbed431fb8ab2c49b1d44fe619f285f1167c78bd671173b2ebb05173eda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rutgers Scarlet Knightsof Minnesota Golden Gophers, Rutgers Scarlet Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,650 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 59c | 1,152$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.53 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 56c | 811.53$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.49 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 53c | 737.51$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.45 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 43c | 572.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.96 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 43c | 472.65$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.24 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 49c | 445.1$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.1 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 53c | 390.35$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.39 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 47c | 389.03$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.58 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51c | 388.73$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.48 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 48c | 301.92$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.92 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 42c | 287.12$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 52c | 203.97$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.91 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 49c | 161.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 52c | 141.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 43c | 125.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 52c | 121.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 101.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 48c | 95.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 56c | 83.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 48c | 81.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 58c | 81.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers | 52c | 76.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 45c | 57.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 48c | 57.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51c | 56.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 48c | 55.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 51c | 52.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 52c | 46.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 47c | 39.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 38c | 39.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 37.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a66…2c23backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 52c | 28.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…37d5backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 52c | 28.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 50c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +10.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 50c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 59c | 24.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Minnesota Golden Gophers | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Golden Gophers (-5.5)this page
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Minnesota Golden GophersRutgers Scarlet Knights won
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers: O/U 135.5Over won
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers: O/U 136.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Golden Gophers (-6.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.