Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
VCU Rams vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66ee438559de6b03a28a91671a5f4b8eb63a1f0010b0c55f71a94be3a4f9cf20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,803 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 49c | 3,972$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.7 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 49c | 2,984$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 51c | 1,417$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.92 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 50c | 1,140$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.97 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 468$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.97 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 248.74$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 207.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Under | 53c | 186.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Over | 50c | 178.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 126.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 32c | 99.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37ed…3addbacked Over | 45c | 84.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 51c | 52.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -9.9wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 57c | 46.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Under | 51c | 30.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…dc40backed Under | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 51c | 20.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…ba10backed Under | 51c | 20.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…7593backed Under | 51c | 20.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…80d0backed Under | 51c | 20.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Under | 54c | 18.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 57c | 18.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VCU Rams vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 146.5this page
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-1.5)VCU Rams won
- VCU Rams vs. Dayton FlyersVCU Rams won
- VCU Rams vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 147.5Under won
- VCU Rams vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.