TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Chargers and Patriots combine for 43 or more points?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,191

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,191 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ed7…537abacked Under61c6,271$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.695848.3%28 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Over38c5,080$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.6931848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Over46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54024738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab0c…0f1fbacked Over46c186$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd693…3c3cbacked Under54c186$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab06…0feabacked Under54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b6…a5a0backed Over46c180$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…212cbacked Under54c175$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83e…61bbbacked Under46c175$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94c0…0961backed Under46c175$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e62…aea2backed Over54c175$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b6e…e497backed Under46c175$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5767…a6cbbacked Over46c175$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6a…227fbacked Over54c175$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377f…f86ebacked Over54c175$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeff3…1d24backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c5a…e5eebacked Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd858…9f0fbacked Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b27…e31bbacked Over54c170$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfa…c427backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22f0…f612backed Over54c170$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db1…ef18backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d26…7472backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa5…1e48backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeca…07d1backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baf…9eddbacked Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ca…5404backed Over54c170$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d08…6b94backed Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f0…5167backed Over54c170$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…a229backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…992bbacked Over54c170$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ba…5964backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e92…4dfebacked Over54c170$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6dc…b45ebacked Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe485…da96backed Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd03…ec5ebacked Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…193dbacked Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc14d…6ef9backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x822f…e219backed Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x042c…8f21backed Over54c170$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5402…26eebacked Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e0…1ff7backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0d…b410backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d9…b469backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c40…cf5dbacked Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd949…57b5backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8069…9adfbacked Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x381c…6830backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd834…0664backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0d…2daabacked Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1853…7937backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb293…e35dbacked Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa330…0f02backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba8…2841backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24e1…8846backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c7…01a4backed Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe224…79e5backed Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfa…8ca2backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x590b…060fbacked Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf1e…cd58backed Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1b…3177backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e6…a5e7backed Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x750c…f275backed Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72e6…36adbacked Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x500b…0e81backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…cc0abacked Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e69…a2f7backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f85…d4edbacked Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x580d…caccbacked Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc000…a192backed Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x174e…a7e9backed Over54c170$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x512a…2235backed Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71a4…070fbacked Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c7…aec0backed Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6174…979dbacked Over54c170$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d50…2da2backed Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad0e…e06dbacked Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca20…b3ffbacked Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700e…4a31backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8f…5da9backed Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6342…6e25backed Over54c170$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd1…62a9backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa296…8a8cbacked Over54c170$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2de…3a17backed Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b70…a0e5backed Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb477…c9cabacked Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fe…476ebacked Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f2…11d9backed Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf571…e23dbacked Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1d…1b96backed Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e30…3925backed Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd7f…0f2fbacked Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a20…b901backed Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x950b…5dbabacked Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x022c…37ebbacked Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b27…3870backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86a0…02e4backed Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddf…999bbacked Under54c170$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda07…7767backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb386…67bdbacked Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.