CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs PURE (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #4 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x671def7a036e2b07a1ea509937a8230a829968fb5bbea55648b4ad359cf3de6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Passion UAof Passion UA, PURE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7857…bab6backed Passion UA | 66c | 1,796$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.21 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked PURE | 30c | 867.46$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.05 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked PURE | 6c | 638.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed PURE | 40c | 622.49$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.7 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Passion UA | 70c | 593.07$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.33 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf44…760bbacked PURE | 30c | 473.72$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Passion UA | 60c | 290.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.11 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed PURE | 7c | 290$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed PURE | 39c | 289.81$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.74 | 151 | 33.1%50 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…5f94backed PURE | 40c | 289.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Passion UA | 61c | 253.35$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PURE | 14c | 225.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed PURE | 26c | 153.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked PURE | 22c | 135.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd419…0d64backed PURE | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked PURE | 40c | 119.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1b…e271backed PURE | 40c | 96.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Passion UA | 66c | 91.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked PURE | 28c | 84.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed PURE | 33c | 79.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…e3bbbacked PURE | 17c | 79.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked PURE | 35c | 64.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed PURE | 35c | 56.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Passion UA | 66c | 49.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 587 | 55.9%328 W · 259 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Passion UA | 65c | 47.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…1cebbacked Passion UA | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.