Tennis · resolved market
Sherif vs. Gormaz: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x675d42949fac5196197d5d985f41341e8512545794102961be64e743383f8234
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a77…720cbacked Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1e…41dabacked Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0f…e601backed Over | 49c | 5,579$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…8ca0backed Over | 49c | 5,438$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ada…985fbacked Over | 49c | 5,423$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47c…0bd0backed Over | 49c | 5,392$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…fbb4backed Under | 51c | 5,079$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…9bcbbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf103…c256backed Under | 51c | 4,610$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4845…cd3dbacked Under | 51c | 4,226$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7da…f1a2backed Under | 51c | 2,025$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d40…2b37backed Under | 52c | 1,341$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe940…ce19backed Over | 48c | 1,341$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…68c2backed Under | 51c | 892$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 13c | 317.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 1,384 | 16.5%228 W · 1,156 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 68c | 104.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 47c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 53c | 86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…3100backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 43.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 45c | 40.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 52c | 36.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8691…f1eebacked Under | 56c | 26.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sherif vs. Gormaz: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Dubrovnik: Mayar Sherif vs Leyre Romero GormazMayar Sherif won
- Set 1 Winner: Sherif vs GormazGormaz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.