CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SNG (-1.5) vs Mousquetaires (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67d6504115bd617b74263a6d91464ed8a4a70ad045bd9f12b9bc0df8c276e04c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sangalof Sangal, Mousquetaires
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,510 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Mousquetaires | 50c | 2,158$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.11 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Sangal | 50c | 2,017$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.2 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…520abacked Sangal | 50c | 1,909$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.83 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Mousquetaires | 51c | 587.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.87 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sangal | 50c | 454.94$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.57 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Mousquetaires | 50c | 404$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Mousquetaires | 51c | 388.92$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.35 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Mousquetaires | 51c | 307.72$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.58 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Mousquetaires | 51c | 258.82$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…bbcebacked Mousquetaires | 53c | 235.94$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Sangal | 47c | 212$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed Mousquetaires | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Mousquetaires | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Mousquetaires | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SNG (-1.5) vs Mousquetaires (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Mousquetaires (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsSangal won
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Mousquetaires - Map 1 WinnerSangal won
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Mousquetaires - Map 2 WinnerSangal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.