CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Mousquetaires (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa69834e5f9e58fb98d2872df65b068b3aa9b8a446ef7041dd9f149f80a5d8339
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sangalof Sangal, Mousquetaires
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,113 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Sangal | 73c | 2,989$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.19 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sangal | 69c | 2,102$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.7 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mousquetaires | 28c | 2,064$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.83 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Sangal | 72c | 1,158$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.19 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9f…200cbacked Mousquetaires | 27c | 1,078$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea5…85a6backed Mousquetaires | 26c | 988.2$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Mousquetaires | 24c | 764.62$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mousquetaires | 30c | 750$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.61 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed Mousquetaires | 20c | 633.53$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.59 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x812b…d13ebacked Sangal | 73c | 585$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Mousquetaires | 30c | 584$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1d…2d68backed Mousquetaires | 24c | 527$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sangal | 77c | 512.32$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.65 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Mousquetaires | 29c | 460.89$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8d…6fe9backed Mousquetaires | 27c | 455.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.38 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4772…9f1bbacked Sangal | 73c | 426$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Mousquetaires | 27c | 377.1$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Mousquetaires | 27c | 352$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…dd06backed Mousquetaires | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Mousquetaires | 31c | 330.72$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed Mousquetaires | 27c | 307.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Sangal | 72c | 305.55$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Mousquetaires | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Mousquetaires | 14c | 294.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Mousquetaires | 9c | 285.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…df81backed Sangal | 73c | 284$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…43cfbacked Sangal | 73c | 255$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Mousquetaires | 30c | 250.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Sangal | 80c | 223.22$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Mousquetaires | 24c | 212$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Mousquetaires | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Sangal | 66c | 198.03$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f7…f410backed Sangal | 76c | 194$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Mousquetaires | 25c | 192$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…292bbacked Sangal | 76c | 187$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Sangal | 75c | 180$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Mousquetaires | 32c | 153.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Mousquetaires | 30c | 149.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287e…7b9cbacked Sangal | 76c | 145$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…9da8backed Mousquetaires | 23c | 139$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e7…db75backed Mousquetaires | 30c | 136$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…fb78backed Sangal | 72c | 133.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c05…1bb3backed Mousquetaires | 28c | 131$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Mousquetaires | 25c | 124$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…58c9backed Mousquetaires | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Sangal | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ae…18c8backed Mousquetaires | 30c | 119$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Mousquetaires | 17c | 119$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…e77ebacked Mousquetaires | 29c | 109$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…13b1backed Mousquetaires | 28c | 108.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc664…8ca9backed Mousquetaires | 30c | 102$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f7…d9adbacked Mousquetaires | 29c | 101$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Mousquetaires | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked Mousquetaires | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mousquetaires | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Mousquetaires | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Mousquetaires | 31c | 96.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Mousquetaires | 33c | 94.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mousquetaires | 31c | 90.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Sangal | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Mousquetaires | 28c | 67.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Mousquetaires | 24c | 67.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mousquetaires | 16c | 67.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…ae65backed Sangal | 73c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Sangal | 68c | 59.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Sangal | 70c | 58.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…1aa0backed Sangal | 77c | 57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Mousquetaires | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…0679backed Sangal | 71c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5585…9bb5backed Sangal | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c25…02ddbacked Sangal | 71c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Mousquetaires | 29c | 51.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Mousquetaires | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…928abacked Sangal | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9a…e36abacked Sangal | 71c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd1…8e6fbacked Sangal | 72c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8967…692bbacked Sangal | 72c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b46…6381backed Sangal | 72c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…79b9backed Sangal | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Mousquetaires | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b2…114abacked Sangal | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…6345backed Sangal | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…1baebacked Sangal | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…9f10backed Sangal | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…37d5backed Sangal | 74c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Sangal | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…7672backed Sangal | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb811…f65ebacked Sangal | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…4684backed Sangal | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…1de0backed Sangal | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0b…2361backed Sangal | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…9744backed Sangal | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…4daebacked Sangal | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Sangal | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc6…0d37backed Sangal | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…2bc7backed Sangal | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9208…7d22backed Sangal | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…ea2cbacked Sangal | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Mousquetaires (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Mousquetaires - Map 1 WinnerSangal won
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Mousquetaires - Map 2 WinnerSangal won
- Map Handicap: SNG (-1.5) vs Mousquetaires (+1.5)Sangal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.