Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: ALT F4 vs Aura (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67d76f72369f49dbf9d9ec3173d6a9f30111a2cc70bb7f587807f06f2ae2c8b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALT F4of ALT F4, Aura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked ALT F4 | 51c | 5,630$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.45 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Aura | 49c | 2,624$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.04 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aura | 48c | 1,402$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.89 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Aura | 53c | 1,034$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed ALT F4 | 51c | 836.65$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.96 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Aura | 79c | 830$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.8 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed ALT F4 | 21c | 820$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.8 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed ALT F4 | 66c | 637.06$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.06 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Aura | 52c | 587.4$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed Aura | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked ALT F4 | 68c | 368.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.23 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed ALT F4 | 33c | 362.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.93 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Aura | 33c | 332.61$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…a27ebacked ALT F4 | 49c | 323.22$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed ALT F4 | 21c | 220$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aura | 56c | 145.37$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Aura | 51c | 92.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d98…fa1fbacked ALT F4 | 65c | 67.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed ALT F4 | 57c | 61.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed ALT F4 | 38c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed ALT F4 | 57c | 29.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Aura | 76c | 24.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: ALT F4 vs Aura (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: ALT F4 vs Aura - Map 1 WinnerALT F4 won
- Valorant: ALT F4 vs Aura - Map 2 WinnerALT F4 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.