CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Blitzkrieg - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67d850ea5965014731a5d2b48362311a38a9e15ed4c8cc71bac6b75deb27a8f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Yawara Esports, Blitzkrieg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Blitzkrieg | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blitzkrieg | 8c | 879.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Blitzkrieg | 9c | 514.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Blitzkrieg | 13c | 404.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Blitzkrieg | 9c | 339.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Blitzkrieg | 10c | 282$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Blitzkrieg | 16c | 279.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Blitzkrieg | 8c | 206.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Blitzkrieg | 8c | 190.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Blitzkrieg | 15c | 185.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked Blitzkrieg | 7c | 176.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Blitzkrieg | 17c | 176.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Blitzkrieg | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…e948backed Blitzkrieg | 10c | 125$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Blitzkrieg | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Blitzkrieg - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StageYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Blitzkrieg - Map 2 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Yawara Esports (-6.5) vs Blitzkrieg (+6.5)Yawara Esports won
- Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs Blitzkrieg (+1.5)Yawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.