Lol · resolved market
LoL: Spartans EU vs Team Phantasma - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68814046b6c4183864b39b0065152667715afe59c339130a8e80ef17984b9e24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Phantasmaof Spartans EU, Team Phantasma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spartans EU | 13c | 1,188$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.83 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Spartans EU | 14c | 983.76$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Spartans EU | 17c | 869.74$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.81 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spartans EU | 12c | 506.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5511…5734backed Spartans EU | 11c | 484.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Spartans EU | 13c | 413.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 599 | 48.2%289 W · 310 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spartans EU | 10c | 307.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 2,378 | 40.9%973 W · 1,405 L | -56.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Spartans EU | 9c | 118.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1,549 | 43.8%679 W · 870 L | -27.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Spartans EU | 11c | 113.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Spartans EU | 13c | 94.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 399 | 60.4%241 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Spartans EU vs Team Phantasma - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Spartans EU vs Team Phantasma (BO2) - HLL Regular SeasonTeam Phantasma won
- LoL: Spartans EU vs Team Phantasma - Game 1 WinnerTeam Phantasma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.