Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68aa409510693663a66a2d7cee17bff09fc023960d4405250214811d2bef24fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alberto Barroso Camposof Alberto Barroso Campos, Pavlos Tsitsipas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3705…9677backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Alberto Barroso Campos | 80c | 1,483$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.52 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 25c | 1,269$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.68 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Alberto Barroso Campos | 79c | 761.55$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.87 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 24c | 672.5$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.4 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 20c | 670.94$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.02 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Alberto Barroso Campos | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 20c | 225.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 20c | 225.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 20c | 182.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alberto Barroso Campos | 77c | 163.72$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 13c | 126.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 20c | 96.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 20c | 96.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 24c | 73.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Alberto Barroso Campos | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Alberto Barroso Campos | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Alberto Barroso Campos | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Alberto Barroso Campos | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Alberto Barroso Campos | 72c | 59.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 21c | 55.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alberto Barroso Campos | 77c | 43.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Alberto Barroso Campos | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Alberto Barroso Campos | 78c | 34.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Alberto Barroso Campos | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed Alberto Barroso Campos | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.