CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68e721a91233b2e1676c88c58647a931eb12cb0e52b6c7cca4066c5a2945c794
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOLHA AMARELAof Procyon Gaming, FOLHA AMARELA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4178…2adebacked Procyon Gaming | 32c | 2,250$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…b08fbacked Procyon Gaming | 33c | 1,550$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb613…4624backed Procyon Gaming | 36c | 1,510$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…591fbacked Procyon Gaming | 49c | 1,110$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…2c06backed FOLHA AMARELA | 68c | 1,100$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc267…0c3fbacked Procyon Gaming | 32c | 1,100$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c1…e8c6backed FOLHA AMARELA | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56f…e9afbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 68c | 800$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…e5e2backed FOLHA AMARELA | 64c | 760$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f63…8f3ebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 64c | 750$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8402…df2dbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 67c | 750$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…fc68backed FOLHA AMARELA | 68c | 750$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb025…8736backed FOLHA AMARELA | 68c | 700$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…4ef4backed Procyon Gaming | 16c | 614.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FOLHA AMARELA | 60c | 613.98$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.18 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Procyon Gaming | 14c | 507.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Procyon Gaming | 17c | 137.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed FOLHA AMARELA | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Procyon Gaming | 29c | 61.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed FOLHA AMARELA | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Procyon Gaming | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,087 | 37.5%408 W · 679 L | +33.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb414…9683backed FOLHA AMARELA | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…6693backed FOLHA AMARELA | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed FOLHA AMARELA | 60c | 18.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353a…06c5backed FOLHA AMARELA | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…7289backed FOLHA AMARELA | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…fd9fbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6831…08b7backed FOLHA AMARELA | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs FOLHA AMARELA - Map 1 WinnerFOLHA AMARELA won
- Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs FOLHA AMARELA - Map 2 WinnerFOLHA AMARELA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.