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Tennis · resolved market

Campinas: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Enzo Camargo Lima

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Juan Manuel La Sernaof Juan Manuel La Serna, Enzo Camargo Lima
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,500

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,387 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Enzo Camargo Lima4c4,990$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.598,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Enzo Camargo Lima3c1,476$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.081,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68af…ca81backed Enzo Camargo Lima7c1,339$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7521720.3%44 W · 173 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Enzo Camargo Lima2c915.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5211,87743.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L+19.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Enzo Camargo Lima7c799.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0330715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Enzo Camargo Lima5c778.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0316645.2%75 W · 91 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacf9…626dbacked Enzo Camargo Lima14c475.3$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2427936.2%101 W · 178 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Enzo Camargo Lima8c469.54$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.423,90535%1,368 W · 2,537 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked Enzo Camargo Lima7c394.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.312450%12 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Enzo Camargo Lima7c388$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.339727.8%27 W · 70 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Enzo Camargo Lima5c384.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.721,50735.1%529 W · 978 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Enzo Camargo Lima7c371.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.651,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Enzo Camargo Lima7c325.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9732050%160 W · 160 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Enzo Camargo Lima6c324.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9623444.9%105 W · 129 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Enzo Camargo Lima6c324.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9629851%152 W · 146 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Enzo Camargo Lima7c318.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4241658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Enzo Camargo Lima6c311.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8533557%191 W · 144 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Enzo Camargo Lima6c309.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0530555.4%169 W · 136 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Enzo Camargo Lima6c300$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6932131.2%100 W · 221 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Enzo Camargo Lima7c293.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0219153.4%102 W · 89 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Enzo Camargo Lima7c289.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.211,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc8b…f894backed Enzo Camargo Lima8c288.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.158724.1%21 W · 66 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Enzo Camargo Lima7c272.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6510858.3%63 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Enzo Camargo Lima7c269.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9948652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Enzo Camargo Lima7c268.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9839955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba2…f46bbacked Enzo Camargo Lima7c251.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.044454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Enzo Camargo Lima7c250.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.071,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Enzo Camargo Lima7c245.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5929652.4%155 W · 141 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Enzo Camargo Lima7c244.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6385348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Enzo Camargo Lima7c242.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7948453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Enzo Camargo Lima7c236.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0410160.4%61 W · 40 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Enzo Camargo Lima7c221.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.137153.9%200 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Enzo Camargo Lima9c219.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.927040%108 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x280e…2779backed Enzo Camargo Lima6c210.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.164742.6%20 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Enzo Camargo Lima7c203.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6776853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dfe…3ff2backed Enzo Camargo Lima6c202.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-54.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Enzo Camargo Lima7c202.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6613151.1%67 W · 64 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Enzo Camargo Lima5c199.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.371,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Enzo Camargo Lima7c195.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2261752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Enzo Camargo Lima7c194.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.250156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2720…7549backed Enzo Camargo Lima7c186.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.03650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed Enzo Camargo Lima7c179.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Enzo Camargo Lima7c172.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2911958.8%70 W · 49 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Enzo Camargo Lima6c167$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Enzo Camargo Lima7c152.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6217656.3%99 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.