CS2 · resolved market
CS: ENCE vs fnatic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x698249ff6a2d8db0804b774ec36672723a142188c9f34e7d43256c70f67b61da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ENCEof ENCE, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked ENCE | 65c | 6,511$4,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.74 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…0dc4backed fnatic | 65c | 1,486$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.57 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked fnatic | 28c | 890.78$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.2 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked fnatic | 59c | 785.58$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked ENCE | 67c | 689.21$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.44 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed fnatic | 49c | 573.64$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.27 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed ENCE | 43c | 233$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed fnatic | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed fnatic | 51c | 137.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…49eabacked ENCE | 71c | 84.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…2afebacked fnatic | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked fnatic | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed fnatic | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 207 | 44.4%92 W · 115 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked ENCE | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…9213backed fnatic | 48c | 41.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed fnatic | 60c | 39.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed fnatic | 70c | 37.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked fnatic | 53c | 34.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed fnatic | 60c | 25.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ENCE | 40c | 25.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.