South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69d3e6a2e1640b12d2027f5b98ff44b24d35c25822bacdd7447405c2efbb2dc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 48c | 4,860$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.57 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 50c | 2,198$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.53 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 2,019$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.78 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 51c | 1,726$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 48c | 1,011$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.54 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 45c | 1,000$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.12 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 528.03$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.32 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 286.54$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.46 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 12c | 227$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Over | 44c | 225$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 56c | 223$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 56c | 223$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 218$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 50c | 198.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 153.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 73c | 130.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 66c | 28.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 50c | 23.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…7c24backed Over | 49c | 23.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5this page
- Santos FC vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Santos FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.