CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69d6fbb01ca3f6415ae3e9d140163ed06a5bae739a55b6b361bb9eb898b02abb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof Eternal Fire, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eternal Fire | 4c | 1,407$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eternal Fire | 29c | 1,385$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.74 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1e…f6a4backed MOUZ NXT | 70c | 1,135$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.08 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Eternal Fire | 3c | 812.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…c05cbacked Eternal Fire | 41c | 484.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Eternal Fire | 39c | 464.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.35 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed MOUZ NXT | 70c | 400.37$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.11 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 305$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.95 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 70c | 275.74$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT | 63c | 260.23$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0272…ef18backed MOUZ NXT | 79c | 253.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Eternal Fire | 9c | 179.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc442…b7e5backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 152.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 149.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 21c | 135.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed MOUZ NXT | 55c | 121.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Eternal Fire | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda9…dc6ebacked Eternal Fire | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Eternal Fire | 31c | 91.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed MOUZ NXT | 75c | 89.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 89.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6dfdbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked Eternal Fire | 24c | 81.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed MOUZ NXT | 61c | 74.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked Eternal Fire | 20c | 64.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…d1bbbacked Eternal Fire | 32c | 61.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…9fcbbacked MOUZ NXT | 68c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe646…7f8ebacked Eternal Fire | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Eternal Fire | 29c | 41.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed MOUZ NXT | 63c | 40.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Eternal Fire | 31c | 39.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed MOUZ NXT | 74c | 36.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…c11abacked MOUZ NXT | 74c | 27.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Eternal Fire | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 24.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed MOUZ NXT | 73c | 21.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…c2c9backed MOUZ NXT | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ NXT | 73c | 16.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed MOUZ NXT | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 36 | 86.1%31 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.