CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 9z vs RED Canids (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a10178d492cc03f8ad02321d0935828f6b973bb31bdee5bcc3cb729c89595ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9zof 9z, RED Canids
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,593 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 9z | 58c | 704.51$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.38 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 9z | 50c | 630.11$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.08 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed RED Canids | 42c | 419.1$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.09 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed 9z | 58c | 394.36$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.01 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked RED Canids | 49c | 353.55$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.29 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed RED Canids | 47c | 302$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.94 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed 9z | 57c | 246.63$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed 9z | 62c | 161.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed RED Canids | 21c | 154.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6230…6debbacked RED Canids | 59c | 147.87$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed RED Canids | 29c | 132.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed 9z | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed 9z | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed 9z | 55c | 64.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed RED Canids | 28c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed RED Canids | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 228 | 44.3%101 W · 127 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d8…849abacked 9z | 65c | 49.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +4.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked RED Canids | 35c | 49.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked 9z | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…19dcbacked RED Canids | 79c | 46.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked RED Canids | 27c | 44.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked RED Canids | 38c | 38.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3648…fc70backed RED Canids | 70c | 28.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked 9z | 41c | 27.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked 9z | 60c | 25.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…20adbacked 9z | 66c | 21.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed 9z | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed RED Canids | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9bc8backed RED Canids | 80c | 18.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…1041backed RED Canids | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs RED Canids (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs RED Canids - Map 2 Winner9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.