Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a61b8d2baf1f7a7a4b61dbd6f8e717b3b5ae7d83c57a7d29810f10e455bbe62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 73c | 2,200$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.25 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 72c | 927.78$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.58 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Over | 28c | 708.28$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.32 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 72c | 659.99$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 26c | 629.59$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.69 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 27c | 602.89$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.78 | 214 | 58.9%126 W · 88 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 28c | 510.55$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.65 | 227 | 42.7%97 W · 130 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Over | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked Over | 29c | 371.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 27c | 362.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over | 31c | 335$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd413…f862backed Over | 31c | 240$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 28c | 217.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 28c | 162.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 220 | 43.6%96 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Under | 70c | 142.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 28c | 137.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 30c | 128.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Under | 69c | 125$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Over | 27c | 119.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 69c | 117$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Over | 27c | 116.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Over | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Under | 69c | 89.77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Over | 30c | 44.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 72c | 26.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 72c | 19.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…dd91backed Under | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: DCG (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)Deep Cross Gaming won
- LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Group StageDeep Cross Gaming won
- LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 1 WinnerDeep Cross Gaming won
- LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 2 WinnerDeep Cross Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.