CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs Sinners (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a986595a74d20ad39c1a2713d92bbf3048224c745420dd41d340da3a0b05528
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Clutchain, Sinners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fdd…e1fdbacked Sinners | 80c | 1,404$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.05 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Clutchain | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sinners | 74c | 552$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.86 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…c9b1backed Clutchain | 20c | 427.08$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Clutchain | 18c | 345.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Clutchain | 24c | 319.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Clutchain | 26c | 190.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Clutchain | 6c | 184.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Clutchain | 24c | 164$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Clutchain | 19c | 153.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Sinners | 79c | 138.77$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Clutchain | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed Clutchain | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Clutchain | 24c | 99.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Clutchain | 18c | 96.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Clutchain | 16c | 82.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1634…b32fbacked Clutchain | 24c | 80.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…1b54backed Clutchain | 18c | 73.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Clutchain | 21c | 69.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Clutchain | 20c | 59.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed Sinners | 79c | 45.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…7f9cbacked Sinners | 75c | 41.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sinners | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.