Tennis · resolved market
ITF Harmon: Hiromasa Koyama vs Colin Sinclair
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b1cdfb6f6d5ec2dcec20d54149ae908ceb2d843f730c9a1db85e647846142fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hiromasa Koyamaof Hiromasa Koyama, Colin Sinclair
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Hiromasa Koyama | 32c | 695$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.76 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colin Sinclair | 69c | 669.2$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.61 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 68c | 568.69$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.41 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colin Sinclair | 22c | 525.83$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.03 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Colin Sinclair | 78c | 257.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Colin Sinclair | 26c | 71.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…6359backed Hiromasa Koyama | 78c | 70.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed Colin Sinclair | 74c | 59.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Hiromasa Koyama | 34c | 58.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Hiromasa Koyama | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Colin Sinclair | 80c | 49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 30c | 49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Colin Sinclair | 27c | 41.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Colin Sinclair | 29c | 36.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Hiromasa Koyama | 52c | 27.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Colin Sinclair | 46c | 25.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Colin Sinclair | 72c | 21.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.