South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF América win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b43ac166ca3283ef8f85778cf792329702e3dd2a12ede8c0a610d82b7c4df66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 7,475$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.53 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 69c | 4,392$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.73 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 64c | 2,776$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.04 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 2,283$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9f…ba36backed Yes | 63c | 2,212$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 72c | 1,582$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.11 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 74c | 1,482$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.64 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 63c | 1,029$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.51 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 32c | 704.52$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.04 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 2c | 674$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 37c | 604.75$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.13 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 28c | 524.27$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.81 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 35c | 512.84$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.4 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 70c | 369.58$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.71 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 347.1$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.42 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 34c | 323.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 35c | 306.21$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 23c | 260.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cf52backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 54c | 167.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…fa31backed Yes | 66c | 164.24$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 67c | 117.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 30c | 113.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 33c | 75.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Yes | 66c | 66.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 66c | 66.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 28c | 41.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…b307backed No | 38c | 41.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 37c | 35.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked No | 37c | 30.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed No | 38c | 26.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed No | 39c | 26.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 62c | 18.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 66c | 18.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF América win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will CF América vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.