La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bcd99a47f15907ab368cefe1c5701f8d9178b98ddc82897c04629ff388b9b72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 3,399$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.04 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 52c | 3,200$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 1,163$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.37 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 47c | 1,160$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.39 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 32c | 831.71$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.67 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 18c | 576.46$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…8a63backed Yes | 53c | 426$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 53c | 216.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 52c | 192.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc841…a2ccbacked Yes | 47c | 105.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 70c | 89.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 19c | 86.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 52c | 73.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 42c | 59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +14.7wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 34c | 52.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee77…ad2abacked Yes | 52c | 38.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…a04ebacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf7…4307backed Yes | 52c | 33.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c60…d2a8backed Yes | 54c | 31.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…50aabacked Yes | 54c | 20.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 70c | 17.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. SD Huesca end in a draw?No won
- Will SD Huesca win on 2026-02-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.