CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs TDK - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6be09e0d575069d54f9fba7089ebb2c2ee8e2f242d6a27f154d3f3930a42ce41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof K27, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd92d…e560backed TDK | 73c | 1,037$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.9 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed K27 | 26c | 1,005$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TDK | 45c | 813.26$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.81 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked K27 | 45c | 778.17$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.69 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed K27 | 27c | 688.71$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.86 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked TDK | 73c | 614.53$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.01 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed TDK | 73c | 566$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.82 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked K27 | 19c | 470$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 74c | 466.37$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked K27 | 27c | 407$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed K27 | 38c | 387.59$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.02 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed TDK | 53c | 380.15$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.18 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked TDK | 78c | 338$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed K27 | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked TDK | 77c | 258.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed K27 | 27c | 256$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TDK | 44c | 231.85$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked K27 | 59c | 211.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked K27 | 16c | 138.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked K27 | 39c | 107.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked TDK | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked K27 | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked TDK | 63c | 99.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed K27 | 62c | 87.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed TDK | 74c | 75.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked K27 | 47c | 69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed TDK | 33c | 65.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed K27 | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked K27 | 35c | 50.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked TDK | 50c | 37.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…613ebacked TDK | 57c | 35.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked TDK | 54c | 19.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs TDK - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 PlayoffsTDK won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs TDK - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)TDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.