CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Hashiras (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c0d91c2910596e4e0691a24badda48d543edbe939bea12b7150e01fdaf93cb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof MANA eSports, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b39…3234backed MANA eSports | 41c | 3,980$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.47 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hashiras | 58c | 3,055$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.41 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MANA eSports | 55c | 2,539$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.22 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Hashiras | 45c | 1,647$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.76 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hashiras | 48c | 1,203$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.61 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Hashiras | 54c | 1,092$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.7 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hashiras | 44c | 622.07$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.23 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed MANA eSports | 80c | 571.95$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.53 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed MANA eSports | 58c | 500.52$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Hashiras | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked MANA eSports | 56c | 350.45$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.79 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…67ebbacked MANA eSports | 33c | 349.87$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.59 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked MANA eSports | 51c | 312.87$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.7 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Hashiras | 56c | 288.23$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.41 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed MANA eSports | 50c | 276.33$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.17 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Hashiras | 30c | 241.53$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hashiras | 53c | 224.96$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.36 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Hashiras | 58c | 201.68$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.98 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Hashiras | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Hashiras | 52c | 178.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed MANA eSports | 56c | 153.58$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…18bbbacked MANA eSports | 54c | 152.87$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Hashiras | 49c | 149.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed MANA eSports | 37c | 147.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Hashiras | 22c | 143.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Hashiras | 69c | 142.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Hashiras | 60c | 141.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.91 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hashiras | 62c | 137.15$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked MANA eSports | 42c | 131.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed MANA eSports | 39c | 115.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed MANA eSports | 52c | 111.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Hashiras | 48c | 109.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231d…4bdfbacked MANA eSports | 25c | 103.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hashiras | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked MANA eSports | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Hashiras | 43c | 95.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Hashiras | 43c | 94.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…5431backed Hashiras | 43c | 94.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…58c9backed Hashiras | 43c | 94.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Hashiras | 40c | 91.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…430dbacked Hashiras | 48c | 85.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…b5b8backed Hashiras | 49c | 83.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked MANA eSports | 54c | 81.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked MANA eSports | 52c | 81.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Hashiras | 23c | 69.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Hashiras | 47c | 63.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MANA eSports | 46c | 59.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…0b26backed Hashiras | 70c | 59.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked MANA eSports | 36c | 52.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Hashiras | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -13.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked MANA eSports | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7349backed MANA eSports | 50c | 47.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Hashiras | 44c | 46.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2548…17a3backed MANA eSports | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed MANA eSports | 51c | 46.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Hashiras | 27c | 45.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9194backed MANA eSports | 55c | 43.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Hashiras | 67c | 43.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 164 | 64.6%106 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed MANA eSports | 54c | 38.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Hashiras | 49c | 36.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked MANA eSports | 34c | 33.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Hashiras | 46c | 33.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Hashiras | 46c | 31.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed MANA eSports | 46c | 29.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f3…9dc7backed MANA eSports | 48c | 28.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MANA eSports | 64c | 28.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x153f…6eabbacked MANA eSports | 53c | 23.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…8923backed Hashiras | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf229…8583backed Hashiras | 76c | 19.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed MANA eSports | 64c | 17.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Hashiras (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Hashiras - Map 1 WinnerHashiras won
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Hashiras - Map 2 WinnerMANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.