CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c11e53be33099cb2be787200e7c803f4aa43a62143d2ff2a70bd06ecd6a1578
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9INEof 9INE, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,334 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked 9INE | 57c | 1,235$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.31 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic | 41c | 540.68$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.3 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfa…cab8backed 9INE | 68c | 500$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked fnatic | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 9INE | 60c | 388.57$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed 9INE | 63c | 264.55$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed fnatic | 19c | 230.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed 9INE | 62c | 193.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3648…fc70backed fnatic | 40c | 189.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed fnatic | 44c | 64.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed 9INE | 64c | 63.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked fnatic | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed 9INE | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 9INE vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 9INE vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs9INE won
- Counter-Strike: 9INE vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner9INE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.