TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: FC Machida Zelvia (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
FC Machida Zelviaof FC Machida Zelvia, JEF United Ichihara Chiba
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,844 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba71c6,812$4,866 inLost-$4,866.141,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed FC Machida Zelvia55c2,015$1,102 inWon+$913.432,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed FC Machida Zelvia29c2,000$580 inWon+$1,42018353%97 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FC Machida Zelvia29c1,910$554 inWon+$1,356.421,23549.9%616 W · 619 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba71c1,728$1,227 inLost-$1,226.991,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked FC Machida Zelvia29c1,552$450 inWon+$1,101.729444.7%42 W · 52 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed FC Machida Zelvia46c1,487$679 inWon+$808.6984342.2%356 W · 487 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed FC Machida Zelvia29c600$174 inWon+$42617247.1%81 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed FC Machida Zelvia57c245.61$140 inWon+$105.925,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked FC Machida Zelvia25c225$56 inWon+$168.7516929%49 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba71c85.1$60 inLost-$60.237552%195 W · 180 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba58c71.41$41 inLost-$41.332060%192 W · 128 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba71c70.42$50 inLost-$506583.1%54 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked FC Machida Zelvia57c57$32 inWon+$24.574847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba71c49.49$35 inLost-$35.1413142.7%56 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed FC Machida Zelvia31c48.39$15 inWon+$33.391553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba71c29.99$21 inLost-$21.2954746.8%256 W · 291 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed FC Machida Zelvia75c18.56$14 inWon+$4.642,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.