Euroleague · resolved market
Shanghai Sharks vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c453c9faede30311e8d34ac491c1e3570344020ad932e96b9845edfd62b0724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanghai Sharksof Shanghai Sharks, Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84dc…008ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 11c | 16,720$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 8c | 4,295$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.35 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 11c | 2,022$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.44 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 11c | 1,250$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +63%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 10c | 899.45$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 10c | 674.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 9c | 615.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 9c | 484.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x289c…79bcbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 9c | 375.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 14c | 305.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 11c | 298.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 10c | 298.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 11c | 279.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.