Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cb4f2361f012751cb458837bcecaa05db35393eab6528492db40bfe91b47e25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circleof enjoy boys, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked enjoy boys | 6c | 1,698$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked enjoy boys | 24c | 1,096$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.88 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked enjoy boys | 20c | 759.7$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.94 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Inner Circle | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Inner Circle | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Inner Circle | 75c | 238.25$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked enjoy boys | 20c | 217.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked enjoy boys | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked enjoy boys | 17c | 160.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Inner Circle | 76c | 155.53$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Inner Circle | 75c | 133.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Inner Circle | 79c | 119.6$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8832…1fc4backed enjoy boys | 19c | 105.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Inner Circle | 77c | 97.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked enjoy boys | 16c | 95.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Inner Circle | 79c | 67.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked enjoy boys | 20c | 66.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…d393backed enjoy boys | 16c | 64.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked enjoy boys | 25c | 55.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Inner Circle | 75c | 55.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed enjoy boys | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Inner Circle | 77c | 39.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Inner Circle | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Group AInner Circle won
- Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Inner Circle - Game 1 WinnerInner Circle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.