Tennis · resolved market
Lille: Joel Schwaerzler vs Moise Kouame
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cd5781fb8da2b3be4d82ebce7fa740d09f57b4077c35ed2361d90b4314d42ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kouameof Schwaerzler, Kouame
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kouame | 76c | 921.58$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.65 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Schwaerzler | 10c | 648.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Schwaerzler | 35c | 403.49$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Schwaerzler | 12c | 367.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Kouame | 64c | 325.64$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.13 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Schwaerzler | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Kouame | 67c | 298.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…6b67backed Schwaerzler | 35c | 286.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Schwaerzler | 34c | 264.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Kouame | 65c | 230$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Schwaerzler | 15c | 222.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Schwaerzler | 33c | 209.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…c586backed Schwaerzler | 34c | 200.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Schwaerzler | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Kouame | 69c | 165$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Kouame | 66c | 152.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Schwaerzler | 34c | 150.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…e7b4backed Kouame | 67c | 148.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Kouame | 68c | 147.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Kouame | 73c | 119$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Schwaerzler | 32c | 112.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Kouame | 66c | 105.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kouame | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Schwaerzler | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Schwaerzler | 33c | 98.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Schwaerzler | 37c | 81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Kouame | 66c | 64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Kouame | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Schwaerzler | 35c | 58.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Schwaerzler | 28c | 51.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Schwaerzler | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Kouame | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 689 | 51.1%352 W · 337 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Schwaerzler | 25c | 49.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kouame | 75c | 49.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…9b3bbacked Schwaerzler | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Schwaerzler | 34c | 40.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Kouame | 62c | 31.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Schwaerzler | 34c | 30.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…ff7cbacked Kouame | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Kouame | 65c | 23.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Kouame | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Kouame | 67c | 15.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.