CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d01cc9712618b3cca446ba579a56bf0a1c602cf0fd3f81423392d3cf5c069c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNiTY esportsof MOUZ NXT, UNiTY esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed UNiTY esports | 67c | 1,750$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.88 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 1,103$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.87 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec8…e91abacked MOUZ NXT | 31c | 503.23$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ NXT | 23c | 312$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 245.33$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UNiTY esports | 50c | 181.37$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed UNiTY esports | 73c | 155$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed UNiTY esports | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed UNiTY esports | 54c | 110.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ NXT | 36c | 97.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ NXT | 18c | 89.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked UNiTY esports | 67c | 66.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ NXT | 34c | 49.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group StageMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.