CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - FRAG Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d653e11a1eea53ae0d778673efb20773f1a9a6b7b7fe4d7dfc697ca8388ada0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildcardof Passion UA, Wildcard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85a4…9aabbacked Passion UA | 59c | 1,501$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.68 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Wildcard | 42c | 919.15$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.39 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Passion UA | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Wildcard | 38c | 703.07$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.9 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Passion UA | 59c | 599.99$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.99 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Passion UA | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Wildcard | 41c | 496.28$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.85 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wildcard | 41c | 424.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.74 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Wildcard | 48c | 416.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.54 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Passion UA | 59c | 385.23$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.29 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Wildcard | 44c | 365.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.01 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Wildcard | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Wildcard | 40c | 246.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.51 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Passion UA | 59c | 245.36$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.61 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Wildcard | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Passion UA | 63c | 101.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Passion UA | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Passion UA | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Wildcard | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Passion UA | 25c | 92.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Passion UA | 60c | 81.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Wildcard | 36c | 74.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Passion UA | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Wildcard | 41c | 57.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Passion UA | 62c | 56.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Wildcard | 39c | 51.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Wildcard | 47c | 36.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Passion UA | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Passion UA | 77c | 27.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Passion UA | 64c | 20.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed Passion UA | 79c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - FRAG Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard - Map 1 WinnerPassion UA won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard - Map 2 WinnerWildcard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.