Lol · resolved market
LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d87a009ef6fc9515f743f71bf90241ffb6ff6c1c4904aef3e615dc685aa3754
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PCIFIC of PCIFIC , Dark Passage
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Dark Passage | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf28…db5dbacked PCIFIC | 76c | 2,642$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.88 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Dark Passage | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked PCIFIC | 70c | 988$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.34 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked PCIFIC | 73c | 792$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.84 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Dark Passage | 28c | 761.77$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.37 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed PCIFIC | 75c | 526.3$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.82 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Dark Passage | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed PCIFIC | 73c | 396$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked PCIFIC | 73c | 383.13$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Dark Passage | 23c | 313.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked PCIFIC | 73c | 274.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Dark Passage | 6c | 187.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Dark Passage | 15c | 170.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked PCIFIC | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dark Passage | 14c | 73.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed PCIFIC | 76c | 17.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +24.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: PCIFIC (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5)PCIFIC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonPCIFIC won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 2 WinnerPCIFIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.