Other European Leagues · resolved market
Alanyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dea5cd80bbc88e0f601f93b362938db9187eddfab76c8c51e7e350d52d79b4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 5,792$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.45 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 45c | 2,500$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 1,935$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.29 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 31c | 927.68$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.58 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 801.68$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.88 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Under | 50c | 500.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.49 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 56c | 447.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.09 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 52c | 224.68$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.53 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 219.78$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 158.71$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 127.54$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Over | 52c | 85.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 76.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 72.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Over | 52c | 59.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 58.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Under | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Over | 38c | 45.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Over | 58c | 39.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 53c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 54c | 35.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 35.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 48c | 31.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…0997backed Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 50c | 26.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Over | 53c | 25.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 78c | 22.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Under | 55c | 21.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…b76bbacked Under | 62c | 19.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alanyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5this page
- Alanyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Alanyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Alanyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.