Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Brace
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e0dda3eeaf1124dc660caa9e058c937a4a856bccd4e97b2d0c7c2c3c211849e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- McCartney Kesslerof McCartney Kessler, Cadence Brace
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cadence Brace | 5c | 6,546$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.57 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Cadence Brace | 4c | 5,937$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.67 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Cadence Brace | 2c | 5,260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Cadence Brace | 1c | 4,498$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Cadence Brace | 17c | 4,168$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.5 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Cadence Brace | 7c | 2,699$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.95 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cadence Brace | 1c | 2,658$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…568cbacked Cadence Brace | 1c | 2,614$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb6…8b20backed Cadence Brace | 5c | 1,853$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…987ebacked Cadence Brace | 4c | 1,804$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Cadence Brace | 4c | 1,368$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…0608backed Cadence Brace | 4c | 1,261$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Cadence Brace | 15c | 919.44$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.62 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Cadence Brace | 5c | 700$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Cadence Brace | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 271 | 39.1%106 W · 165 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Cadence Brace | 14c | 528.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Cadence Brace | 13c | 499.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cadence Brace | 5c | 454.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Cadence Brace | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Cadence Brace | 17c | 299.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Cadence Brace | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 36.5%74 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Cadence Brace | 14c | 100.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Cadence Brace | 14c | 94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Cadence Brace | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- National Bank Open: McCartney Kessler vs Cadence Bracethis page
- Set Handicap: Brace (-1.5) vs Kessler (+1.5)Kessler won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.