Tennis · resolved market
Athens Open, Qualification: Viktoria Morvayova vs Franziska Sziedat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e19f814aa0c0c7e15d6f046a555e4b7d5a7641d50dfe098a10164010bf15cf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Viktoria Morvayovaof Viktoria Morvayova, Franziska Sziedat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Viktoria Morvayova | 76c | 8,656$6,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.18 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Franziska Sziedat | 7c | 7,952$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.87 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Franziska Sziedat | 23c | 5,911$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.49 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Franziska Sziedat | 15c | 4,364$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.38 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Franziska Sziedat | 4c | 2,563$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Franziska Sziedat | 24c | 2,453$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.56 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Franziska Sziedat | 15c | 793.17$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 77c | 717.74$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.08 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Franziska Sziedat | 7c | 686.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Franziska Sziedat | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Franziska Sziedat | 7c | 456.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Franziska Sziedat | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Franziska Sziedat | 19c | 210.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Franziska Sziedat | 24c | 160$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Viktoria Morvayova | 77c | 103.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Franziska Sziedat | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Viktoria Morvayova | 77c | 97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Franziska Sziedat | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Viktoria Morvayova | 77c | 80.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…b6a0backed Viktoria Morvayova | 78c | 78.36$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 80c | 50.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Franziska Sziedat | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Franziska Sziedat | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Viktoria Morvayova | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Viktoria Morvayova | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athens Open, Qualification: Viktoria Morvayova vs Franziska Sziedatthis page
- Set Handicap: Morvayova (-1.5) vs Sziedat (+1.5)Morvayova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.