Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e22857725de228f8f2709c0517419509aa0139fec59437918a1134e9b77e42f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 73c | 20,184$14,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,488.38 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 7,950$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.87 | 945 | 43.1%407 W · 538 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 6,470$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.67 | 2,080 | 35.3%735 W · 1,345 L | -27.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 28c | 3,144$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.55 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,025$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.51 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 26c | 1,356$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.09 | 1,139 | 50.8%579 W · 560 L | +27.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 1,353$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.05 | 2,068 | 36.7%758 W · 1,310 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 1,109$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.49 | 2,132 | 47.9%1,022 W · 1,110 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 27c | 1,074$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.72 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.05 | 5,655 | 42%2,376 W · 3,279 L | +75.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 891.72$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.58 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 27c | 538.26$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2b…769cbacked Yes | 20c | 502.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 406.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 792 | 50.1%397 W · 395 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 390.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 2,361 | 46.8%1,106 W · 1,255 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 75c | 333$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…0586backed Yes | 28c | 275$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 79c | 242.3$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d64…6b35backed Yes | 27c | 177.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 22c | 159.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 663 | 41.6%276 W · 387 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed No | 72c | 141.65$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +146.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 27c | 133.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 113$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 2,588 | 52.1%1,348 W · 1,240 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x428c…bd27backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 102$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 957 | 44%421 W · 536 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…53c9backed Yes | 15c | 98.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…b39abacked Yes | 21c | 90.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes | 29c | 86.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 19c | 83.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 898 | 57.9%520 W · 378 L | +56.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 14c | 77.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 376 | 39.6%149 W · 227 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 71.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Yes | 23c | 66.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 27c | 60.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 20c | 56.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b95…6907backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 27c | 48.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 25c | 42.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked Yes | 28c | 40.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 39.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 872 | 50.2%438 W · 434 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85f…dfb5backed No | 78c | 35.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 77c | 13.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 253 | 43.9%111 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-17?No won
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.