Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e5b8afcc4f1688a6d0d503980b2da94ea8fe5a1b31477b45636dabf4e01146a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 3,342$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.41 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 32c | 2,100$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.99 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 1,973$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.72 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 68c | 793.25$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.82 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 30c | 754.74$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.42 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 30c | 425$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.34 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 23c | 161.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 159$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 73c | 148$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 139$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 128.13$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 30c | 99.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 11c | 98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 69c | 90.07$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 31c | 63.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a3…bf2fbacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed No | 72c | 35.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 70c | 33.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 32.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed No | 70c | 21.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 75c | 17.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?Yes won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.