Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Warsaw Men: Vincent Reisach vs Faris Zakaria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e87181532b716422b6c73a3895f20f2e771981af60fc62ff60aabb8599bead0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vincent Reisachof Vincent Reisach, Faris Zakaria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Faris Zakaria | 30c | 690.69$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.02 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Vincent Reisach | 54c | 322.26$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.65 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vincent Reisach | 75c | 298.49$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Faris Zakaria | 36c | 143.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…731abacked Faris Zakaria | 67c | 139.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Vincent Reisach | 78c | 127.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…1c06backed Vincent Reisach | 68c | 121.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…f4f1backed Vincent Reisach | 49c | 112.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Faris Zakaria | 24c | 108.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Faris Zakaria | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Vincent Reisach | 27c | 97.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.95 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Vincent Reisach | 37c | 97.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Faris Zakaria | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Vincent Reisach | 67c | 85.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked Faris Zakaria | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f1…28d4backed Faris Zakaria | 54c | 60.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Faris Zakaria | 28c | 52.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Vincent Reisach | 68c | 35.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Faris Zakaria | 45c | 29.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Vincent Reisach | 56c | 24.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Vincent Reisach | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.