TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
EDward Gamingof Dragon Ranger Gaming, EDward Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,358
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,916

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,358 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed Dragon Ranger Gaming39c634.5$250 inLost-$249.5734356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed EDward Gaming62c231$143 inWon+$87.7839545.8%181 W · 214 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked EDward Gaming61c231$140 inWon+$90.6755348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7c…bfd7backed Dragon Ranger Gaming42c199.99$84 inLost-$84666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed EDward Gaming62c158$98 inWon+$60.1479650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3731…405fbacked EDward Gaming58c128.14$74 inWon+$53.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming39c115$45 inLost-$44.8618241.2%75 W · 107 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming41c88.14$36 inLost-$36.1426738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed EDward Gaming59c88.14$52 inWon+$36.1418056.7%102 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefff…2d98backed EDward Gaming59c76.75$45 inWon+$31.753554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed EDward Gaming60c66.67$40 inWon+$26.6711152.3%58 W · 53 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Dragon Ranger Gaming39c58$23 inLost-$22.6210142.6%43 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b2…0ab9backed Dragon Ranger Gaming40c57.5$23 inLost-$23812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.41per pick53cpaid-81.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked EDward Gaming62c46.67$29 inWon+$17.852050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked EDward Gaming58c35$20 inWon+$14.728541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked EDward Gaming58c34.48$20 inWon+$14.4851948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1056…225cbacked EDward Gaming57c31.95$18 inWon+$13.742548%12 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed EDward Gaming47c29.47$14 inWon+$15.562634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.