CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Sashi Academy (BO3) - Gamebox Festival Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f52d5ef892fccc9374d30673ff5c8b2250837048c3f6157633e90b04dcae8eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- STATEof STATE, Sashi Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked STATE | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sashi Academy | 45c | 1,481$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.36 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Sashi Academy | 44c | 1,045$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.06 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Sashi Academy | 31c | 929.35$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.57 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Sashi Academy | 23c | 575.28$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.33 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Sashi Academy | 37c | 570.25$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.85 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed STATE | 60c | 484.68$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.79 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed STATE | 55c | 341.64$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.74 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed STATE | 55c | 332.32$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sashi Academy | 35c | 284.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed STATE | 55c | 272$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed STATE | 56c | 271.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.67 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked STATE | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…4e6fbacked Sashi Academy | 7c | 187.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed STATE | 58c | 161.19$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Sashi Academy | 45c | 102.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Sashi Academy | 45c | 102.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed STATE | 58c | 86.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Sashi Academy | 43c | 53.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…e2d3backed STATE | 60c | 29.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…fd36backed STATE | 60c | 29.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked STATE | 59c | 23.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…0438backed STATE | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 31 | 96.8%30 W · 1 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 77cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed STATE | 78c | 12.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Sashi Academy (BO3) - Gamebox Festival Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Sashi Academy - Map 1 WinnerSashi Academy won
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Sashi Academy - Map 2 WinnerSTATE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.