Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f804e0bfbdc4e08fd3b2b7b5d4a93d6278132e866b34d4502756f329450fbed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,423 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 2,046$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.98 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 1,587$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.53 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 38c | 1,452$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.59 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,249$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.01 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 283 | 32.5%92 W · 191 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 959.28$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.47 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 682.84$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.88 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 632.26$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.56 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 24c | 386.1$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…c976backed Yes | 15c | 340$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 77c | 140.3$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 21c | 128$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 19c | 103.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 14c | 102.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 24c | 95.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 65c | 67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac60…8980backed Yes | 16c | 64.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed No | 65c | 63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f7…1b73backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 76c | 61.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Yes | 25c | 44.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…c1a5backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 38.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 30.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 63c | 27.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 78c | 24.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…d5a7backed No | 76c | 18.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fd…6479backed No | 78c | 17.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-03-06?Yes won
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-03-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.